ENGLAND
Bournemouth beat Swindon at 1.78 (2 pts)
The departure of Eddie Howe doesn't seem to have affected Bournemouth as badly as expected. Since he left for Burnley, Bournemouth have won 2 and drawn 1, including a win over league leaders Brighton. They've also won 10 of 13 at home this season.
Swindon have only picked up 2 pts from the last 15, scoring only once in those 5 games. They have also lost star player and leading scorer Charlie Austin to Burnley during the window.
Chesterfield win at Stockport at 1.67 (2 pts)
Stockport are without a win in 7, and without a home win since mid-October. They seem doomed to relegation to the conference and are generally rubbish.
Chesterfield are top of the league and are unbeaten in 8, with the 3rd best away record in the division. As such, 1.67 looks decent value.
ITALY
Fiorentina v Genoa to have < 2.5 goals at 1.70 (2 pts)
Genoa have drawn 3 of their last 4 away games 0-0 and 7 of their 10 away games this season have had only 1 goal or less.
Lay Catania @ Cesena at 3.35 (2 pts)
Whilst Cesena are 3rd from bottom and hardly setting the world alight, they've lost less than half their home games this season. The real motive for this bet is Catania's shocklingly bad away record. 3 away wins in the past 2.5 seasons (and only 6 away goals in 10 games this season) says it all.
Monday, 31 January 2011
Sunday, 30 January 2011
BETTING: Tips for Sunday 30th Jan 2011
HOLLAND
Lay Ajax at NAC Breda at 1.60 (2 pts)
To sum up NAC, they are great at home and rubbish away. They are unbeaten in their last 5 at home, winning 4, including against elite sides PSV & Twente. NAC beaten only once at home all season.
In contrast, Ajax have been average away from home and got stuffed last time out at Utrecht. Add to that the Luiz Suarez situation meaning he may not play and 1.60 seems way too short.
ITALY
Inter beat Palermo at 1.71 (2 pts)
Since Rafael Benitez was put out of his misery and replaced with Leonardo at Inter, their form has completely turned around. They have won 4 from 5 since he took over, and 3 from 3 at home. They lost last time out away to Udinese (who have now won their last 5 at home and are unbeaten at Stadio Friuli since mid-September, so no disgrace there)!
Palermo, whilst decent at home and sitting just 2 places below Inter in the league, are average on the road. They've only picked up 2 points from a possible 12 in their last 4 away games, 3 of which came away to teams with 3 of the bottom 5 home records in Serie A. In the 2 games they've played away against the top 5 so far this season, they lost them both (to Napoli and Milan), and lost the reverse fixture at home to Inter back in September.
Lay Ajax at NAC Breda at 1.60 (2 pts)
To sum up NAC, they are great at home and rubbish away. They are unbeaten in their last 5 at home, winning 4, including against elite sides PSV & Twente. NAC beaten only once at home all season.
In contrast, Ajax have been average away from home and got stuffed last time out at Utrecht. Add to that the Luiz Suarez situation meaning he may not play and 1.60 seems way too short.
ITALY
Inter beat Palermo at 1.71 (2 pts)
Since Rafael Benitez was put out of his misery and replaced with Leonardo at Inter, their form has completely turned around. They have won 4 from 5 since he took over, and 3 from 3 at home. They lost last time out away to Udinese (who have now won their last 5 at home and are unbeaten at Stadio Friuli since mid-September, so no disgrace there)!
Palermo, whilst decent at home and sitting just 2 places below Inter in the league, are average on the road. They've only picked up 2 points from a possible 12 in their last 4 away games, 3 of which came away to teams with 3 of the bottom 5 home records in Serie A. In the 2 games they've played away against the top 5 so far this season, they lost them both (to Napoli and Milan), and lost the reverse fixture at home to Inter back in September.
Saturday, 29 January 2011
BETTING: Season-long Everton Prop Bet
A few days before the start of the season, I agreed a bet with a mate of mine based on the number of points Everton would get this season.
I named the line, then he could decide to go over/under for £1.50 per point.
Just before naming the line at 62.5 pts, Martin O'Neill resigned from Aston Villa. Taking Villa's likely demise into account as a result, I adjusted to 64.5 pts, he chose 'the over', so here's hoping for a miserable season on the blue half of Merseyside! (sorry mate).
I named the line, then he could decide to go over/under for £1.50 per point.
Just before naming the line at 62.5 pts, Martin O'Neill resigned from Aston Villa. Taking Villa's likely demise into account as a result, I adjusted to 64.5 pts, he chose 'the over', so here's hoping for a miserable season on the blue half of Merseyside! (sorry mate).
Welcome to MightyTractor's Betting & Gaming Blog
This blog will feature...
SPORTS BETTING: My tips and progress on how I'm doing overall.
POKER: Interesting hands I've played or seen recently, plus updates on how I'm getting on.
RANTS & OPINIONS: General discussion.
SPORTS BETTING: My tips and progress on how I'm doing overall.
POKER: Interesting hands I've played or seen recently, plus updates on how I'm getting on.
RANTS & OPINIONS: General discussion.
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