If you still can't be bothered, I'll summarise: The lower the AR, the better.
Here is the table of ARs I have calculated for each runner in the race.
Horses greyed out have an AR of >=1.75 and have at least one major trend counting against them. This accounts for 27/40 horses in the field (67.5%).
So, the theory is that places 1-6 should be filled by the 6 of the remaining 13 horses. The caveat here is that this is a pretty specific prediction in a very unpredictable race.
Horses in green are the ones I have personally backed. I always back 4 each year. You'll notice a fifth in a slightly lighter shade, this is because I placed all my bets only to find an email from Coral's giving me a free £5 bet. I'd been agonising between Chicago Grey and Balthazar King for a while before choosing the former, so I decided to stick the £5 on Balthazar King rather than top-up on Colbert Station.
| My AR table for #GN2013 |
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