BETTING: Week 28 - Tips for Weekend 12th & 13th Feb 2011

ENGLAND
Liverpool win/win v Wigan @ 2.04 (2 pts)
Liverpool are back in form and have won their last 4 with the 2nd best home record in the Premiership. Wigan are unpredictable as ever, but with the home win offering as little as 1.35, this is the best value bet for this game.

Rochdale beat Sheff Wed @ 2.70 (2pts)
Lay Sheff Wed @ Rochdale @ 2.80 (2 pts)
Rochdale have an average home record overall, but haven't actually lost a home match since early October. They are unbeaten in 9.
Wednesday haven't won in 7, and have lost their last 5 on the road, shipping 17 goals in the process.

Wycombe win at Bradford @ 2.44 (2 pts)
Bradford have lost 5 of their last 6, including home defeats to very average sides (Lincoln and second-bottom Barnet).
Wycombe have one of the best away records in league two and have won 7 of their last 9 in the league.

FRANCE
Rennes beat Nice @ 1.60 (2 pts)
Rennes have been great at home and pony away. They've won their last 5 at home (often 1-0), but haven't won away in their last 7.
Nice have one of the worst away records in the league and haven't won away since their opening away game of the season (10 matches). They won last time out at home to Sochaux, but have only scored 4 goals in their last 10 games, and haven't scored more than 1 goal in any game since early November. They don't often get caned away from home, usually drawing or losing by a single goal so there's almost certain to be < 2.5 goals in this one (if you fancy another punt). If I were feeling precise I'd stick some cash on 1-0 to Rennes.

HOLLAND
NEC beat Excelsior @ 1.50 (4 pts)
NEC v Excelsior draw @ 4.80 (2 pts)
The only games NEC have lost at home this season are against elite side Twente, and pain-in-the-neck AZ. Having said that, they've drawn 5 of their last 6 overall, and 4 of their last 6 home games. Excelsior's away record reads W0 D2 L8.

ITALY
Bari v Genoa < 2.5 goals @ 1.65 (2 pts)
This is a simple numbers-based bet. Average goals in Bari home games = 2.08, average goals in Genoa away games = 1.26. Therefore predicted goals in this game = 1.67. In fact, of Genoa's last 7 away games, 6 have had a single goal or less (including 3 0-0 draws). Bari have only scored 5 in 14 league games. If someone offers you a free ticket to this one, say you're washing your hair.

SPAIN
Lay Athletico Madrid v Valencia @ 2.16 (2 pts)
Athletico are in a poor run of form, with only 4 points from a possible 18, of which 4 were games they really should be winning.
Valencia, by contrast, are in a sick run of form and haven't lost in 8. They have scored 4 last-minute goals (3 winners) in that time.