ENGLAND
Ipswich to beat Sheffield Utd @ 2.02 (2 pts)
Ipswich's form has turned around under Paul Jewell and they have won their last 2 in the league. Sheff Utd haven't won in 7 games, and have only picked up 1 point from their last 4 away games.
GERMANY
Leverkusen win at Nurnberg @ 2.14 (2 pts)
Lay Nurnberg v Leverkusen @ 3.90 (2 pts)
Nurnberg's home form is up and down, but they don't tend to beat the elite sides wherever they play. Leverkusen haven't lost away from home yet this season, winning 7 and drawing 2 of their 9 games. So it all points to lay the home side and Leverkusen provide decent value for the win.
SPAIN
Zaragoza beat Santander - draw no bet @ 1.52 (2 pts)
After recording only 1 win in their opening 16 matches this season, Zaragoza have now won 4 of the last 5, with only a defeat at Espanyol's "fortress" ruining their record. These 4 wins all came against teams in the bottom half, which is firmly where Racing sit. Racing are yet to win away this season and have the second-worst away record in the league. They haven't won in 8, but have put in some decent away performances recently with a narrow defeat at Bilbao and creditable draws away to Atletico and Mallorca, all sides who would expect to take 3 points against Racing. This is why the DNB is the safest option here, Racing shouldn't win, but they could draw.
Real Madrid HTdraw FTwin v Sociedad @ 5.60 (2 pts)
Real have won 10/10 at home this season. 5 of those were win/win and the other half were draw/win (including their last 4). Odds of 5.60 to hope that Sociedad can hold out until half time - before inevitably losing to a Ronaldo goal with about 20 mins to go - make this worth a punt.
ITALY
Lay Catania at Bologna @ 4.30 (2 pts)
Like in midweek, I'm still riding the 'Catania don't win away from home' bandwagon. Add to that a Bologna side with geriatric Marco Di Vaio banging in the goals and only 1 home defeat all season (against top-of-the-league Milan), and it should roll on for another week.
Milan win at Genoa @ 2.08 (2 pts)
Lay Genoa v Milan @ 4.30 (2 pts)
Genoa have been pretty ropey of late, with only 1 win from 6 since the winter break, they have also failed to score in 5 of their last 7. Genoa have played each of the top 5 once this season and their record is W0,D1,L4, scoring only once in the process. Milan haven't lost away since early September and shouldn't here.
HOLLAND
Lay Feyenoord at Vitesse @ 3.35 (2 pts)
Feyenoord have only 3 away points all season and have lost their last 3 games. Despite Vitesse having lost 4 home games this season, three came against the 3 elite sides (PSV, Ajax, Twente) so this stat is a bit skewed. Vitesse are in fact reasonably solid at home and don't get beaten by muppets. Which is what Feyenoord have been playing like this season, particularly away.
RESULTS
ReplyDeleteIpswich 3-0 Sheff Utd (+2.04 pts)
Nurnberg 1-0 Leverkusen (-7.8 pts)
Zaragoza 1-1 Santander (0 pts)
Real Madrid 4-1 Sociedad (-2 pts)
Bologna 1-0 Catania (+2 pts)
Genoa 1-1 Milan (0 pts)
Vitesse 1-1 Feyenood (+2 pts)
Weekend profit -3.76 pts
Overall profit -0.58 pts